Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima meet at Estadio Nemesio Camacho “El Campín”, in a match for the 15th round of the Primera A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera A, on 18‑12‑2016, Santa Fe won by (1‑0). H. Urrego (11′ ) scored the only goal of the match. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 2nd and 6th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 3rd best team in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.
Analysis of Santa Fe
The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 31 points won, after 17 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Atlético Bucaramanga, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Rionegro Águilas, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 13 points in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded, against 18 points won at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Santa Fe has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (6 out of 17 matches) and 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches) and after the 90′ 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 14 of their last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.
Santa Fe is going through a good moment in this Clausura and the proof is that the team is on the top positions of the table, however the recent oscillations have shown that the team still needs to have attention in the competition. In the current round faces a team that also comes in the fight to pass the stage, so it is possible that there are difficulties, so it should have a great performance if it wants to add the three points. For this match the coach Gregorio Perez must take to the field the best available.
Analysis of Deportes Tolima
The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 11 wins, 8 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Deportivo Cali, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Medellín, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 4 points in away matches and 17 at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 13 conceded at home, against 11 goals scored and 31 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Deportes Tolima has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 2.
The positive results it got recently made Tolima enters the fight for a place in the next stage and hopes to continue until the last round, so it is clear that it must continue with the good results. For acting away from home it is evident that the difficulties increase, but even so it is necessary to add points, so if it wants to at least a draw it needs to have a great performance and it can not make mistakes. For this match Alberto Gamero should take to the field what is best available.
PREDICTION: Santa Fe win @ 1.66