Norway vs Sweden
Match by Group F of the classification to Euro 2020, which promises to be one of the best editions.
Group F has 6 participants: Spain, Malta, Sweden, Faroe Islands, Norway and Romania.
If something we have “assured” is that Spain will stay with the first place of the group, with ease over the rest, and that the second position will be between Sweden and Norway. Malta, the Faroe Islands and Romania are clearly unlikely to make it to the final round of the Euro.
Therefore, this match is important for both, since depending on how the matches go between them, surely the second place will be defined. Of the two, the one I see better is the Swedes, let’s remember that it comes from having a good World Cup. First of all, I eliminated Ialia for the World Cup and in the World Cup of Russia, even without Ibraimovich, I manage to reach the quarterfinals of the cup, where I was just eliminated by a very good team from England. The start of this qualifying for the Euro was good, as they started with a 2 to 1 victory for Romania, clearly demonstrating the superiority. A party that already in the first time were winning 2 to 0 and could have pulled even a greater difference, despite the fact that Keseru declined for Romania.
For Norway, things were different, because they started losing in this qualifying. The opponent was tough, Spain, but Norway did not give the expected role, and if they lost by only one goal difference, it was more due to the demerit of Spain, which was not with the “sharp aim” in that match.
But there is no doubt that Spain dominated the ball throughout the game. Norway has not done well in the Euro. In fact, he has lost the last 4 games played by the Euro. This against Spain, in this qualifying, and the previous one, when it fell to Italy 2 to 1 and then, in the playoffs, lost the games against Hungary (1 to 0 and 2 to 1).
I go with Sweden, because I have no doubt that they showed that they have much more category, came to the World Cup eliminating Italy and reached the quarterfinals of the World Cup, all this, without its biggest star: Ibraimovich.
Faced with a reality very different from Norway, where not only did I not classify the World Cup, but I remain in the fourth position, quite far from the classification.
The matches between them, show us that of the 3 times they faced, NEVER could win Norway:
- August 14, 2013: in a friendly won Sweden 4 to 2
- June 8, 2015: another friendly that tied 1 to 0
- June 13, 2017: also another friendly with a draw, 1 to 1
Finally, the individual historical probabilities clearly give a favoritism to the Swedes. Match between two direct rivals, where one comes to lose and one to win where we have a team historically superior to the other.
Prediction Today: 1
Odds: 3.10